Despite the fact that my buddy and number cruncher for FOX, Brian Arbor, thinks that there is absolutely no way that Trump is going to win, I’m still worried. There’s a whole lotta respectable Republicans who are saying that they are going to hold their noses and vote for Trump. That’s a little scary.
My non-loony Republican friends who are voting for him assure me (and probably themselves) that the basic workings of DC will keep him in check for four years, and at least it will keep Hillary away from the Supreme Court. Drezner says that the respectable Republicans think Trump would have to give enormous power to staff to make up for his lack of experience, so couldn’t fuck things up too much. Drezner still thinks he can fuck up foreign relations quite a bit.
Even if Hillary wins, we’re in trouble. She’s not going to start off her term with a mandate. If she can barely beat an idiot like him, she is going to have a hard time getting support to pass anything through Congress. Like it or not, politics is just that – it’s politics. You have to be liked to get things done. Being an adequate policy maker and knowing stuff isn’t enough. You have to be popular. And poor Hillary isn’t.
We may be looking at an eight member Supreme Court for four more years.