It's Election Day, and I suppose I should write a post on it even if I'm not motivated to write much.
Predictions? Well, one of the number crunching bloggers would do a better job on this than I can. Nate Silver is predicting the House will go to the Republicans with a gain of 54 seats and the Senate will keep a small Democratic majority. I defer to the stats geeks on this one.
The Tea Party Movement? I remain unconvinced that the Tea Party movement is a serious movement or that it explains any changes in party preference. Many of their picks are going to crash and burn today. The crappy economy explains everything.
Impact of divided government? So, we're most likely to have a Dem president and at least one house will be Republican. Does this mean that the Republicans are going to undo the last two years of progress? Are we looking at deadlock in Washington with two years of stalemate and inactivity? There is actually lots of research on this question, and I'll dredge up the good stuff later, if necessary. But, let me just say now that I'm not really worried that one house of Congress is going to be able to change much.
The gubernatorial races? Silver is predicting that the number of Republican Governors will increase from 19 to 30. I'm slightly more worried about this.
I'm getting dressed to go to the polls right now. I can't go after school with the boys like I usually do, because they have too many after school activities today. I'm going with a heavy heart, because I'm going to have so few choices this year. Many of the races were uncontested. This may be the first year that I do a write-in vote for "Mickey Mouse."
