Ryan Sager writes that pundits should listen to political scientists who have been on record for ages saying that Dems are going get creamed in the polls in November because of the economy. That's what people care about. Not health reform policy.

In this particular case, political scientists have gone on record, as
far back as September 2009, predicting that the Democrats would get
slaughtered in the Fall of 2010. The economy’s terrible, they are the
incumbent party in Congress, and a new president of their party has
just been elected. Any model of midterm elections would point in the
same direction: Big losses for Democrats….

The point is, we need to believe we’re in control. Political science tells everyone in politics the opposite: You’re not in control. The economy rules your fate — the rest is just pissing in the wind.

No wonder they prefer to keep their eyes closed and their fingers in their ears.

Andrew Sullivan says that nobody listens to political scientists, because "so many political scientists are quant-wonks you'd run from if you met
them in a Starbucks. And, yes, I have a PhD in political 'science'."