The Big Questions for Tomorrow

What’s the difference going to be between the popular vote and the electoral college vote tomorrow? How many conservative pundits will call for the abolition of the electoral college tomorrow? (Big enough difference. All of them.)

Will there be a Bradley effect? (I think it won’t exist. Those who have issues with Obama’s race have given pollsters other reasons (religion, experience) for not voting for him.)

Will there be an uncharacteristically high turnout by traditional low voters? Will the youth vote and black vote actually happen? Will this mean a permanent and lasting change in their voting behavior? (Yes. Yes. Small chance.)

What’s next for Sarah Palin and Joe the Plumber? (Dancing with the Stars.)

Will dirty tricks suppress voter turnout in some areas? (Probably not.)

What is the impact of new media on the 2008 election? (Huge. The next post will explain.)

Will the Obama momentum push out Republican incumbents in Congress? (Yes, but not enough.)

Could we predict the outcome of this election not by checking fancy polling numbers on 538, but by examining mock elections in elementary schools? Jonah’s school was split; Ian’s school went for Obama. (Yes.)

What am I going to serve guests at my election party? Will I live blog the results? (Martinis and chicken wings. Maybe.)